Publications | Labora

A countrywide study on post-COVID-19 condition in Brazil: the Epicovid 2.0

F. C. Wehrmeister, A. M. B. Menezes, M. Dalcolmo, E. C. C. Prendergast, et al.

International Journal of Epidemiology, 2026

Link Covid 19 Long Covid Population Surveys

Association of Social Determinants of Health, Age, Sex and Sexual Exposure with HIV, Acquired Syphilis, and Mpox Detection Rates in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: An Ecological Study

L. E. Coelho, R. M. S. M. Domingues, V. Saraceni, T. S. Torres, G. T. Goedert, et al.

AIDS and Behavior, 2026

Link Epidemiology Public Health Hiv

Avoid What You Know: Divergent Trajectory Balance for GFlowNets

P. Dall'Antonia, T. da Silva, D. Csillag, S. Lahlou, D. Mesquita

arXiv preprint, 2026

Link Gflownets Generative Models

COVID-19 vaccine trust and uptake: the role of media, interpersonal and institutional trust in a large population-based survey

L. E. Coelho, G. T. Goedert, J. Genari, P. M. Luz, L. M. Carvalho, C. V. B. D. Santos, et al.

The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 2026

Link Covid 19 Vaccines Public Health

Functional Gradient Descent through Directional Derivatives

C. Lins, D. Csillag, Y. F. Saporito, B. F. P. da Costa

Proceeding Series of the Brazilian Society of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 2026

Link Functional Optimization Gradient Descent

Functional Gradient Descent with Adaptive Representations

D. Csillag, R. Schuller, P. Dall'Antonia, L. Guibas, L. Velho, T. Novello

arXiv preprint, 2026

Link Functional Optimization Gradient Descent

History of self-reported COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in the Brazilian population: a countrywide survey

C. V. Brito dos Santos, L. E. Coelho, P. M. Luz, G. T. Goedert, D. Csillag, et al.

International Journal of Epidemiology, 2026

Link Covid 19 Epidemiology

Mapping the landscape of mathematical models for antimicrobial resistance: a scoping review

F. Schardong, C. J. Struchiner, L. M. Carvalho

BMC Public Health, 2026

Link Antimicrobial Resistance Mathematical Modeling Scoping Review

Resurgence of Large-Scale Influenza A (H1N1) Outbreaks: Modeling the Interplay of Transmission, Loss of Immunity, and Vaccination

C. Kottegoda, C. T. Codeço, C. J. Struchiner, L. M. Stolerman

Infectious Disease Modelling, 2026

Link Influenza Mathematical Modeling Waning Immunity

The theoretical report in systematic reviews: an important gap

B. A. B. Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, K. R. Gutiérrez, C. J. Struchiner

Cadernos Saúde Coletiva, 2026

Link Systematic Reviews Theoretical Models Research Reporting

Adaptive Training of INRs via Pruning and Densification

D. Aldana, J. P. Lima, D. Csillag, et al.

arXiv preprint, 2025

Link Implicit Neural Representations Network Pruning

Democratising Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic Preparedness and Global Governance in Latin American and Caribbean Countries

A. de Carvalho, R. Bonidia, J. D. Kong, M. Dauhajre, C. Struchiner, G. Goedert, et al.

Microbial Biotechnology, 2025

Link Artificial Intelligence Public Health Governance

Differentially Private E-Values

D. Csillag, D. Mesquita

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 2025

Link Differential Privacy E Values Statistics

Disability-adjusted life years associated with COVID-19 in Brazil, 2020

C. V. B. Santos, L. E. Coelho, G. T. Goedert, P. M. Luz, G. L. Werneck, D. A. M. Villela, et al.

PLOS ONE, 2025

Link Covid 19 Epidemiology

Extending Prediction-Powered Inference through Conformal Prediction

D. Csillag, P. Dall'Antonia, C. J. Struchiner, G. T. Goedert

arXiv preprint, 2025

Link Machine Learning Conformal Prediction Statistics

Food insecurity and associated factors during the COVID-19 pandemic in a vulnerable population in Rio de Janeiro: a primary care registry-based survey

A. C. V. Meireles, P. M. Luz, D. Csillag, G. T. Goedert, D. C. Pires, E. M. Jalil, et al.

PLOS Global Public Health, 2025

Link Covid 19 Public Health

Gestational diabetes mellitus affects the cross-talk among placental, maternal and umbilical cord vitamin D metabolites but fetal transfer is not compromised

L. G. Ranquine, D. Bauer, N. Zuniga, B. A. Nagagata, G. D. A. Pinto, C. S. Ferreira, et al.

Placenta, 2025

Link Maternal Health Gestational Diabetes Vitamin D

Household transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus: a literature review about available theoretical models

B. A. B. Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, K. R. Gutiérrez, M. A. N. Lima, C. J. Struchiner

Physis: Revista de Saúde Coletiva, 2025

Link Covid 19 Theoretical Models Literature Review

Image super-resolution with guarantees via conformalized generative models

E. Adame, D. Csillag, G. T. Goedert

Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), 2025

Link Machine Learning Computer Vision Conformal Prediction

Mining Unstructured Medical Texts With Conformal Active Learning

J. Genari, G. T. Goedert

arXiv preprint, 2025

Link Machine Learning Nlp Public Health

Modelos teóricos: como elaborar, utilizar e relatar em estudos epidemiológicos

B. A. B. Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, C. J. Struchiner

Editora FIOCRUZ, 2025

Link Theoretical Models Epidemiology Research Methods

Prediction-Powered E-Values

D. Csillag, C. J. Struchiner, G. T. Goedert

Proceedings of the 42nd International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2025

Link Machine Learning Statistics

Prevalence of chronic non-communicable diseases and multimorbidity among adults living in slums in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: a population-based survey

A. Echeverría-Guevara, P. M. Luz, D. C. Pires, E. M. Jalil, H. Perazzo, T. S. Torres, et al.

International Journal for Equity in Health, 2025

Link Epidemiology Public Health

Random Gradient-Free Optimization in Infinite Dimensional Spaces

C. Peixoto, D. Csillag, B. F. P. da Costa, Y. F. Saporito

arXiv preprint, 2025

Link Optimization Gradient Free

The impact of vaccination on the length of stay of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Brazil

C. V. B. dos Santos, L. E. Coelho, T. G. de Noronha, G. T. Goedert, D. Csillag, et al.

Vaccine, 2025

Link Covid 19 Vaccines Epidemiology

Thirty-five years of leaky vaccines

M. E. Halloran, C. J. Struchiner

American Journal of Epidemiology, 2025

Link Vaccines Epidemiologic Methods Study Design

Tuberculosis healthcare service disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil, India and South Africa: a model-based analysis of country-level data

A. K. de Villiers, M. Osman, C. J. Struchiner, A. Trajman, D. Tumu, V. V. Shah, et al.

PLOS Global Public Health, 2025

Link Tuberculosis Covid 19 Health Services

Analysing vaccine efficacy evaluated in phase 3 clinical trials carried out during outbreaks

F. A. B. Coutinho, M. Amaku, F. C. Boulos, J. A. de Sousa Moreira, J. I. D. Franca, et al.

Infectious Disease Modelling, 2024

Link Vaccine Efficacy Clinical Trials Mathematical Modeling

Generalization Bounds for Causal Regression: Insights, Guarantees and Sensitivity Analysis

D. Csillag, C. J. Struchiner, G. T. Goedert

Proceedings of the 41st International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2024

Link Machine Learning Causal Inference

Health impacts associated with the Fundão tailings dam disaster in Mariana, Minas Gerais, Brazil

R. D. F. Medina, L. M. F. de Carvalho, F. C. Coelho, C. J. Struchiner, E. Massad

American Journal of Disaster Medicine, 2024

Link Disaster Medicine Burden Of Disease Environmental Health

Immune response stability to the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine booster is influenced by differential splicing of HLA genes

C. B. Santos-Rebouças, C. S. Ferreira, J. S. Nogueira, O. J. Brustolini, et al.

Scientific Reports, 2024

Link Covid 19 Vaccines Genomics

Pharmacogenomic implications of the differential distribution of CYP3A5 metabolic phenotypes among Latin American populations

G. Suarez-Kurtz, C. J. Struchiner

Pharmacogenomics, 2024

Link Pharmacogenomics Population Genetics Precision Medicine

Pós-COVID na Atenção Primária à Saúde: desafios e lições aprendidas

A. C. Vidor, K. Oliveira, G. T. Goedert, J. Genari, D. Csillag

Pós-COVID na Atenção Primária à Saúde e ambulatorial especializada, 2024

Covid 19 Public Health

SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a highly vulnerable population of Brazil: a household cohort study

L. E. Coelho, P. M. Luz, D. C. Pires, E. M. Jalil, H. Perazzo, T. S. Torres, et al.

The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 2024

Link Covid 19 Epidemiology

Strategic Conformal Prediction

D. Csillag, C. J. Struchiner, G. T. Goedert

arXiv preprint, 2024

Link Machine Learning Conformal Prediction

Theory, methodology and reporting: a view on systematic reviews and meta-analysis

B. A. B. Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, K. R. Gutiérrez, G. A. C. Arana, C. J. Struchiner

Cadernos Saúde Coletiva, 2024

Link Systematic Reviews Theoretical Models Meta Analysis

Viés de tempo, pessoa e lugar: ampliando o olhar através da Teoria dos Pressupostos da Qualidade Científica

B. A. B. de Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, C. J. Struchiner

Psicologia e Saúde em Debate, 2024

Link Research Bias Theoretical Models Public Health

AmnioML: Amniotic Fluid Segmentation and Volume Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification

D. Csillag, L. M. Paes, T. Ramos, J. V. Romano, R. Schuller, R. B. Seixas, et al.

Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2023

Link Machine Learning Medical Imaging Conformal Prediction

Big data technology in infectious diseases modeling, simulation, and prediction after the COVID-19 outbreak

H. Shi, J. Wang, J. Cheng, X. Qi, H. Ji, C. J. Struchiner, D. A. M. Villela, et al.

Intelligent Medicine, 2023

Link Big Data Infectious Diseases Modeling

CYP2C19 metabolic estrogen phenotypes and endometriosis risk in Brazilian women

J. A. Perini, D. E. Machado, J. V. Cardoso, V. C. Fernandes, C. J. Struchiner, et al.

Clinics, 2023

Link Endometriosis Pharmacogenetics Cyp2C19

Differential type-I interferon response in buffy coat transcriptome of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 Gamma and Delta variants

G. C. da Fonseca, L. T. F. Cavalcante, O. J. Brustolini, P. M. Luz, D. C. Pires, et al.

International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 2023

Link Covid 19 Genomics

Estimated COVID-19 severe cases and deaths averted in the first year of the vaccination campaign in Brazil: a retrospective observational study

C. V. B. Dos Santos, T. G. de Noronha, G. L. Werneck, C. J. Struchiner, et al.

The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 2023

Link Covid 19 Vaccination Epidemiology

Impact of pre-exposure prophylaxis uptake among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men in urban centers in Brazil: a modeling study

P. M. Luz, V. Deshpande, P. Kazemian, J. A. Scott, F. M. Shebl, et al.

BMC Public Health, 2023

Link Hiv Prep Mathematical Modeling

Instanton-based importance sampling for extreme fluctuations in a shell model for turbulent energy cascade

G. T. Goedert, L. Biferale

The European Physical Journal E, 2023

Link Turbulence Statistical Physics Monte Carlo

Integrated NMR and MS analysis of the plasma metabolome reveals major changes in one-carbon, lipid, and amino acid metabolism in severe and fatal cases of COVID-19

M. C. Gama-Almeida, G. D. A. Pinto, L. Teixeira, E. D. Hottz, P. Ivens, et al.

Metabolites, 2023

Link Covid 19 Metabolomics Biomarkers

Sphingolipids and acylcarnitines are altered in placentas from women with gestational diabetes mellitus

G. D. A. Pinto, A. Murgia, C. Lai, C. S. Ferreira, V. A. Goes, et al.

British Journal of Nutrition, 2023

Link Gestational Diabetes Lipidomics Placenta

The effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against severe cases and deaths in Brazil from 2021 to 2022: a registry-based study

C. V. B. Dos Santos, N. C. M. Valiati, T. G. de Noronha, V. B. G. Porto, A. G. Pacheco, et al.

The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 2023

Link Covid 19 Vaccine Effectiveness Epidemiology

The optimum level of MELD to minimize the mortality on liver transplantation waiting list, and liver transplanted patient in São Paulo State, Brazil

E. Chaib, J. L. E. Pessoa, C. J. Struchiner, L. A. C. D'Albuquerque, E. Massad

ABCD. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cirurgia Digestiva, 2023

Link Liver Transplantation Meld Score Mathematical Modeling

Theoretical models: necessary reflections

B. A. B. de Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, G. A. C. Arana, C. J. Struchiner

Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia, 2023

Link Theoretical Models Epidemiology Methodology

Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model

J. Loria, V. V. L. Albani, F. A. B. Coutinho, D. T. Covas, C. J. Struchiner, J. P. Zubelli, et al.

PLOS ONE, 2023

Link Vaccine Efficacy Mathematical Modeling Covid 19

Convite para conhecer o Checklist para Relato Teórico em Estudos Epidemiológicos (CRT-EE)

B. A. B. Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, G. A. C. Arana, C. J. Struchiner

Physis: Revista de Saúde Coletiva, 2022

Link Reporting Guidelines Epidemiology Theoretical Report

ExactBoost: Directly Boosting the Margin in Combinatorial and Non-decomposable Metrics

D. Csillag, C. Piazza, T. Ramos, J. V. Romano, R. I. Oliveira, P. Orenstein

Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 2022

Link Machine Learning Boosting

Prevalence and predictors of anti-SARS-CoV-2 serology in a highly vulnerable population of Rio de Janeiro: a population-based serosurvey

L. E. Coelho, P. M. Luz, D. C. Pires, E. M. Jalil, H. Perazzo, T. S. Torres, et al.

The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 2022

Link Covid 19 Epidemiology Serosurvey

Quantifying protocols for safe school activities

J. Genari, G. T. Goedert, S. H. A. Lira, K. Oliveira, A. Barbosa, A. Lima, J. A. Silva, et al.

PLOS ONE, 2022

Link Covid 19 Epidemiology Agent Based

Robust evidence of Bolsa Família Programme's benefits

P. M. Luz, C. J. Struchiner

The Lancet HIV, 2022

Link Hiv Cash Transfer Public Health

Theoretical report: reflections and considerations for authors, reviewers, and editors

B. A. B. Souza Filho, É. F. Tritany, C. J. Struchiner

Revista de Saúde Pública, 2022

Link Epidemiology Theoretical Report Scientific Writing